Tuesday, January 7, 2020

Tuesday Tastings

To take my mind off our need for snow there's nothing better than a deep dive into...yup, Patrick Reed.  Really the gift that keeps on giving...

Thoughts On The "C-Word" - Sometimes stories age well in the first 24 hours, so my decision to ignore this bit from the Sunday playoff might have been prescient:
As Reed’s 8-foot birdie try on the third playoff hole ran past the cup, a person from the crowd could be heard shouting, “Cheater!” The scream did not happen during Reed's
stroke, but Reed appeared to immediately glare at the person and muttered something that was not picked up by television microphones. 
"That was pretty unfortunate," Golf Channel announcer Dan Hicks said. "You see Reed glaring up into the stands. Someone yelled as loud and as clear as day, 'Cheater!' " 
While Reed went on to make his comebacker for par, Justin Thomas followed with a tournament-winning birdie to relegate Reed to a runner-up finish.
Dan, I think "undeserved" is the word you're looking for, at least according to Webb Simpson.

But see what you think of this framing 'graph:
Reed is accustomed to inciting a response from fans, dating to his shushing of the European crowd at the 2014 Ryder Cup. But the taunts have become more frequent since Reed received a two-shot penalty for brushing back sand behind his ball in the Bahamas.
Oh yeah, those are exactly the same kind of thing....Sheesh!

This is also suspect reporting:
Reed, whose career has been filled with controversial moments, accepted the penalty but didn’t admit to purposely committing the infraction, instead blaming the camera angle.
It's a bit more complicated than that...  I don't really think anyone actually thought he was doing the excavation job with the explicit thought of improving his lie.  Yet, the problem is in his reaction, but some thought might be needed there to understand the misfire.

Randall Mell has a more interesting take, first arguing for an intervention:
The PGA Tour brass and Reed’s team would do him a giant favor if they cornered and confronted him about how his golfing “sin” at the Hero World Challenge last month is not just a stain upon his reputation, but a deep bruise upon his sport, one that threatens to swell into something worse. 
Because Reed is in denial. 
He still doesn’t see what just about everybody else saw in the replay that showed him scraping away sand from the back of his ball with those practice swings in that bunker in the Bahamas. He doesn’t see how even the most reasonable of his peers can’t dismiss that as an honest mistake.

More importantly, Reed doesn’t see the damage his denial continues to wreak upon a game already being tested by the creeping incivility of other sports, how he’s accelerating that challenge to the game’s honorable traditions. 
That’s why Reed’s team and the Tour would do us all a giant service with an intervention.
OK, but a few reactions...  First, the proposed intervention would necessarily conflict with the reaction of the American team, including its Tour overseers, who offered uncritical support during the week that followed the incident. 

Second, why is this the Tour's responsibility?  If one of there independent contractors, hypothetically speaking, just happens to be an a*******e, how is that any of their affair?
Because this isn’t even really about Reed’s welfare. It’s about where the game is being further pushed if he doesn’t admit his need for forgiveness and seek some sort of absolution. It’s about how even reasonable golf fans are willing to accept heckling when it’s aimed at a player who is so remorseless in his indiscretion. 
The sport is in trouble when heckling can be justified as defense of the game’s honor.
Another straw man bites the dust...  Because who exactly was justifying the heckling?  I do think there's a sense that Patrick had it coming, but to me that's a different issue.
If that heckler had spouted off in Reed’s backswing, the game would have been wounded in a way none of us wants to see. We all would have been left to wonder if that fan dictated Sunday’s outcome, instead of the players we invest so much into following. 
Nobody wants that. Nobody’s paying to see Joe Yahoo decide who wins and loses a playoff. That’s the difference between golf and football. A heckler in golf can be like a fan in football sneaking on to the field to trip a receiver racing up the sideline. The sport’s just different that way. 
Reed lost to Justin Thomas Sunday, but we are all going to lose if that line of civility continues to move in professional golf.
Remind me, why do golfers play in complete silence?  That's obviously beyond our scope here, but needs to be mentioned I think.

Of greater relevance, shall we insert a "Live Under Par" promo here to demonstrate how two-faced the Tour is on such subjects?  If we're worried about fan comportment, might we consider limiting alcohol sales?  Nah, nothing to see here....

Now we move in an interesting direction.... Are you familiar with the term "Gusted"?  In his post-playoff interview, Patrick accused the wind of affecting his putt.  Chris DiMarco begs to difer:
“Is there a bigger d*** in the world?” Chris DiMarco tweeted in a post that included a recording of Reed’s Golf Channel interview, in which Reed cited the wind as interfering with his missed putts, after the playoff loss in Hawaii. “Own your stuff. Always excuses. Just say you cheated and you got beat!” 
DiMarco isn’t some lunatic on the Tour fringe. He’s a highly respected and well-liked PGA Tour Champions player, a three-time PGA Tour winner, two-time Ryder Cup player and two-time Presidents Cup player. He deleted his tweet the day after, but it was up long enough for his followers to understand the depth of his disdain for what Reed has brought to his sport.
I had turned it off by then, but I guess he should have just tamped down an imaginary spike mark....

In all seriousness, I'm completely open to the concept that Patrick is the biggest d*** out there.  But, if you're gonna hang him for that offense, you'll be stringing up every Tour pro we know and love.  It's never their stroke or read, otherwise it would chip away at their reservoir of self-confidence.

It's at times like this that a weary nation turns to Mike Bamberger who, after an amusing attempt to encourage us to shower love on the villain, gets to the crux of things:
The situation became much worse when Reed claimed, preposterously, that a camera angle made his excavation project look worse than it was. 
Then the matter took on even deeper meaning. Not because Reed got heckled when he went to Australia the following week, to play in the Presidents Cup, handpicked for the team by Tiger Woods. It got worse because there was no honest accounting of what he did and why it was an affront to golf. Not by Reed, not by Woods, not by Reed’s teammates, not by any PGA Tour official. 
Granted, the timing could not have been more awkward. They were there as a team. But the silence implied tacit approval, or at least the idea that Reed’s act was no big deal. And that’s even more worrisome. Reed didn’t even seem embarrassed to be caught. How could his touring brethren not be just downright pissed that he wasn’t playing by the rules? In a sense, he was stealing from them. 
Nothing excuses what that spectator did, but if Reed would have owned his failings, or if his fellow professionals would have called him out on his flagrancy, there likely would not have been that one-word outburst. 
If golf is on the road to anything goes, on the part of players or spectators, the professional game will be on life support before Tiger gets his 18th major.
 Remind me, whose idea was it to put the guy on the team? 

Geoff goes an interesting direction, though I have qualms:
Ultimately this all ignores what I see as equally important: has the lack of any significant punishment for Reed increased the likelihood of more fan incidents? We considered this going into the Presidents Cup, and now we know how those crowds treated Reed (not well).
But punishment for what?  For stupid comments in a post-round interview?   Geoff even has this comment from the Commish:
“Golf is a game of honor and integrity, and you've heard from Patrick,” Monahan said. “I've had an opportunity to talk to Patrick at length, and I believe Patrick when he says that [he] did not intentionally improve [his] lie. And so you go back to that moment, and the conversation that he had with [rules official] Slugger [White], and the fact that a violation was applied and he agreed to it, and they signed his card and he moved on. To me that was the end of the matter.”
Penalizing guys for being a*******s is the ultimate slippery slope, although unfortunately Robert Allenby was unavailable for comment.  Though, Jay, you might want to review those comments from Slugger White, which seem.....well, lets just call them regrettable for now.

There's old saying in the law, that bad cases make bad law, which I think applies here.  Patrick's offense was relatively minor, it's just that he's a man with a full line of baggage, and this is troubling on top of the things we've learned about him from, say, his college teammates.  You know, those guys that wouldn't piss on him if he were on fire...

But, while I'm not sure what Shack sees as a logic for the Tour penalizing Reed, there is one place a penalty would have seemed...well, obvious.  Did you happen to catch who caddied for Patrick this week?  You put your hands on a spectator, and I really care hos boozed up and offensive the lout was, and you're back on the bag for the next event?  Not even a faux jet-ski accident, Jay?  Nice little mob you're running there...

Let me suggest that we take fan reaction to Reed as a market correction, about the only thing that might modify future behavior.  At least in the face of a feckless Tour...

But one last thing that makes me believe our future is trending on this arc:
It has been a part of the sport for some time and it won’t be silenced. Players just have to come to terms with it. Not with the racist or homophobic comments, mind you, for those demand immediate eviction for the offending party. But heckling will continue to echo in the quiet chamber of golf and players will have to deal with it just as they deal with difficult putts for par. 
That’s especially going to be the case with golf’s enthusiastic move into legalized gambling here in the states. Expect a few fans, emboldened by social media, mouthing off at tournaments as they tear up losing tickets.
Isn't it more likely that the issue becomes bettors trying to affect the outcome?  But combined with the "Live Under Par" nonsense, it seems the Tour is playing a dangerous game. 

Just because we're on the subject, the artist formerly known as Van Cynical has an interesting take on the current state of golf gambling:
Last month, I made my first legal online golf wager in America when I took the International team in the Presidents Cup at 2.8-1 odds. I saw the Internationals as underrated and thought the Americans might suffer from jetlag and a little less motivation than the Internationals, who were desperate to win the event for only the second time in three decades. The Internationals took a 10-8 lead into singles and then got steamrolled, starting with lead-off batter Tiger Woods. I lost. I was the sucker who took the sucker bet. 
Ah, well. For all the effort I’ve put into my new gambling hobby, I’m pretty much only slightly above the initial amount I put into my account. There is a reason it’s called gambling and not free money. The sharps count on us suckers to lose, and that is usually a good bet, as it turns out. 
On the plus side, my new hobby so far has cost less than my other hobby, playing golf. And now I have two hobbies at which I’m not very good.
Heh, he'll have lots of company.  Of course, bad golfers keep playing, but bad golf bettors?  TBD, at best.

But is this really all that's on offer?
The PGA Tour has flipped on gambling. It had long opposed the idea, but officials now see how much revenue could be theirs and are staking their claim. The PGA Tour was planning to launch its own betting platform in 2020, but details are unclear about when or how that’s going to happen. But with the Tour sitting on a vast database from ShotLink, which tracks every player’s shots, there is potential for live in-game wagering. 
Perhaps odds on a player hitting a par-3 green in regulation. Or odds on which player in a threesome hits it closer to the hole. You know, the kind of things you hear fans betting on with one another when they’re sitting around those par-3 greens while soaking in the sun and pouring down an adult beverage.
Sounds so awfully compelling....  Again, view of the world is that golf is a uniquely compelling place for participants to wager on their own play.  As for betting on the play of others, it's always struck me as an awkward fit.  I'm hoping that's how things play out, because it'll be better for our game.  But none of us can know with any certainty.

However, the current news cycle does have a story on wagering opportunities worse than golf

The Anti-Patrick - This use of the Royal We in golf goes way beyond Patrick, but Shack has some fun with Justin Thomas using the first-person pronoun in speaking of his 18th hole adventures:
Q. Two things on 18 in regulation, a nice moment to reflect on. On the second shot you had, did you hit a bad shot or was it a bad lie? 
JUSTIN THOMAS: It was a really bad lie. It was the wrong club. I should have hit a 5-wood. It just -- I had no chance to get it to the green. The only good thing about a 3-wood was that it was going to cover more if I slightly pulled it, not hit it as far left as I did. But I mean, as steep as -- the thing is the farther down you get it, the flatter it is. I hit that drive so bad and so far off the toe that I didn't get it far enough down to be flat. It just was -- with a one-shot lead that was so stupid. I would have been better off hitting a 6-iron than a 3-wood. It doesn't make sense. 
If I just would have made 4 there I would have won the tournament in regulation. Obviously if I made 5 I would have, but standing on 18 tee, I'm like, we make 4 we're probably going to win this thing, and boy, I botched it up pretty badly.
He does slip up a bit there at the end, but in an acceptable direction.  "We're" probably going to win, but then "I" botched it up.... The judges have ruled this acceptable usage.

Or just say you got "gusted".

Harshing The Narrative - I've been reliably informed that golf is a game for gentlemen, so where might this go?
Undercover Caddie: Do tour pros cheat? Here's your answer
Breath deeply, at least according to this one source, not really:
Which I don’t understand. I’m happy to answer, and do every time. In my eyes, is
cheating a problem on the PGA Tour? 
Not really. 
Yes, we all have stories. Hard not to after nearly a decade out here. But it’s not as prevalent or excessive as some might believe. Even the players who carry less-than-stellar reputations, or have been dinged before, are not as bad as they’re portrayed. In my estimation, and talking with other caddies, these guys often make unintentional mistakes that rarely happen twice.
That actually conforms to my understanding, hence my frustration with the Tour and its omerta on disciplinary action.  But yeah, I want to hear the stories as well...  While he's got the goods on one Euro, we'll see if a name gets offered up in the next few days, here's the real extent of his concerns:
Now, there is one problem area, and that comes to hazards. It’s not an epidemic, but more and more, players are incorrectly dropping. It can be hard to be precise—how can you really be sure where a ball enters when you’re 300 yards away? Just recently at a fall event, a number of players hit it into the water on one hole and dropped farther up than they should have, mostly because where the ball crossed would have left a third shot where you couldn’t reach the green. If you’re looking for a future controversy, this will be the subject.
That doesn't surprise, and we got a little peak at this in Sung Kang- Joel Dahmen imbroglio...

Future Venues - The Forecaddie has the skinny on future Prez Cup venues:
We already know that the 2021 edition of the biennial competition is a USA home game at Quail Hollow in Charlotte. But The Forecaddie has gone ahead and made a down payment on an AirBnb North of the Border after hearing from multiple sources that the 2023 Presidents Cup is expected to return to Royal Montreal Golf Club, which hosted in 2007. Anyone think Mike Weir for International Team captain, eh?
Good golf course and makes the travel/timing issues easier to manage.  But for 2027, an eccentric choice:
The bigger question is 2027, where the likes of Argentina, China and Mexico will be seeking to host for the first time while Australia and South Africa will be under consideration for an encore performance. But let’s not forget another country with Presidents Cup aspirations. New Zealand is turning into quite the golf destination and Royal Auckland is prepping for its potential close up. 
“We want to be in the frame for that discussion,” said Rob Selley, general manager of Royal Auckland. 
In March, the club will open a new clubhouse and the first 18 of 27 planned holes from a renovation by Nicklaus Design (conducted by senior design associate Chris Cochran) after merging with neighboring Grange Club. Royal Auckland is situated in a cosmopolitan city with plenty of accommodations and close enough to the airport (roughly 20 minutes) that you can see planes overhead from several fairways. Then there is the 300-acre footprint, which would include nearby King’s College, to handle all the necessary infrastructure, not to mention that the 18-hour time difference with the east coast of the U.S., which will be even better than Oz for prime-time golf.
Frank Nobilo for Captain?  But who in this age would hire Jack for a renovation?   Still, many will be disappointed that in a country featuring Kauri Cliffs, Cape Kidnappers and the like, this is where they go....

Handicap Stuff - I've got to move on to other obligations, but there was a Q&A in yesterday's Tour Confidential on this subject that I found s minor interest:
5. The USGA and R&A’s unified World Handicap System kicks off in 2020, which, in short, will make a more uniformed system for golfers around the world. A few highlights: Eight rounds, not 10, will count toward your handicap; the minimum round requirement to get a handicap was lowered to three (or six nine-hole rounds); handicaps update daily; and a playing-conditions calculator takes into account the weather. What do you like best about the new system, and do you see any downsides? 
Kerr-Dineen: I sort of like all of it, to be honest. It’s more modern, more accessible, and more fair. People love to rag on the USGA whenever the U.S. Open rolls around, but when it comes to their governance of the game for recreational golfers over the past few years, they keep making progressive, forward-thinking decisions. 
Sens: I second Luke’s sentiments. Specifically, I love the daily updates and the way it takes into account playing conditions, a huge and long-ignored factor, especially for those of us slogging around public courses. The most obvious downside is no fault of the system. It’s user error/apathy; most of the golfers I know can’t be counted on to post their scores in a timely manner. I include myself among them. 
Zak: Daily updates are so obvious, I’m almost annoyed that we didn’t have them before. Bravo, nonetheless. Anyway, my favorite part is just making it WORLDWIDE. I was very annoyed to not be able to play handicapped games appropriately over in Scotland. Or add those scores to my index. I’ve read a bunch on the possible downsides, but it’s just a complex system. I’m not sure those downsides (or some others) were truly avoidable. 
Dethier: There will no doubt be complications from users posting scores on incorrect dates and skewing the adjusted scoring averages, but hey — if the USGA can do daily updates, we can try to keep up, too. Good stuff, this.
Aren't these guys supposed to actually know things?  They're blown away by the daily updates, and apparently unaware that we've had daily updates for as long as I can remember.  It was called the "Trend", but it was there on an immediate basis and at Willow Ridge my groups used it for our games.

They also love the playing conditions adjustments, blissfully unaware that with complication comes problems...  This remains a common theme of these pages, our governing bodies fixing things that aren't broken.  All Square, for instance....  so complicated.

But of course it's the net double bogey max that is likely to torment golfers, especially combined with the daily updates.  The chances of players getting this consistently correct approach zero, but by all means cheerlead the nonsense.

I need to move on so, we'll have more as the week unfolds.

Monday, January 6, 2020

Weekend Wrap

Lots of football, some golf and even a little skiing...  That's what you get for asking about my weekend.

Maui Wowie - I was gonna go with Kapalua Kringes, at least as far as that final group on No. 18 in regulation:
Who won: Justin Thomas (14 under, 278; birdie on third playoff hole) 
How it happened: Schauffele led Thomas by one entering the day, but Thomas strung together four straight birdies on Nos. 8-11 to lead Patrick Reed by two and Schauffele by three. But Reed, playing a couple of groups ahead of Thomas and Schauffele, used a hot putter to keep climbing up the leaderboard. He made birdies on 13, 14 and 15 to get within a stroke of Thomas at one point, but Thomas followed two pars with a birdie on 14 to push his lead back to two over Reed and Schauffele. But on 16 Thomas made it interesting. He drove it into the bunker and made bogey, and his lead was back to one over Schauffele and Reed, who birdied the last to take the clubhouse lead at 14 under. Both players found the fairway on the long par-5 18th, but everything changed with their second shots. Thomas, still leading by one, over-cooked a draw and found the hazard short of the green, while Schauffele blasted a 5-wood onto the green for an eagle putt. Thomas dropped and pitched on to 8 1/2 feet but missed his par putt, but Schauffele three-putted for par when a birdie would have won it. That crazy sequence of events led to a playoff with Schauffele (70), Thomas (69) and Reed (66). 
The playoff: All three players found the fairway when replaying the par-5 18th and went for the green with their second shots. Thomas finished in the rough right of the green, Schauffele rolled onto the front of the green and Reed was in the best position, his ball settling about 20 feet away. Reed two-putted easily for birdie and Thomas nearly chipped in for eagle, but instead knocked in his three-footer for birdie. Schauffele was eliminated from the playoff after his second straight three-putt. After heading back to the 18th tee, both players had birdie putts their second time around but couldn’t convert. Playing the 18th for the third time, Thomas stuck a wedge in close and sank his four-footer to win. Reed also had a birdie chance from about eight feet out but missed and cleaned up his par before Thomas ended it. To make matters worse for Reed, a fan also yelled “Cheater!” as his ball tracked toward the hole.
Your humble correspondent had made it through two dreary football games and all of the golf through the end of regulation.  But the Keystone Kops play of Thomas and X-man on No. 18, or was it the s**t-eating grin of Dr. Death in black that did it, but I just had nothing left for the playoff.

Our Shack has been spewing spittle all over my monitor on a wide range of topics.  First, like everyone else, he was concerned as to whether they could return the fire to the golf course.  As he put it, would it be interesting?  And, of course, they promised us it would be:
Kapalua's Plantation Course ready for PGA Tour pros with restored and speedy surfaces
Comical in hindsight, because the combination of new grassing and way too much rain rendered the gold course softer still, seemingly over-seeded with velcro.

But then Geoff decided it was good after all:
Sentry 2020: Watching Young Guns Hit Woods Into Par-5s Was Exciting! Stop The Presses!
Kapalua played like a golf course re-opening year one of a major overhaul. The turf was young, the greens sported that dreaded new-green firmness and overall, it needs a little 
Oops!
more time to settle in. Mother Nature was also cruel to the 2020 Sentry Tournament of Champions in making Kapalua play long, soft, wet and not as much fun as we know it can be. 
But as the ground dried just enough during Sunday’s windy finale, the 18th played like it did fifteen years ago. Drives that caught the right line and ridges shortened the hole. Clubs once called woods—not irons!—were used for second shots on a par-5. The hazard was in play. The ground mattered. Position off the tee was key. Genuine skill behind mere power was on display. And it was all very exciting to watch. 
This is noteworthy given how often we are told the long ball is vital to selling the sport when we were once again reminded that power is fascinating when it is used to overcome hazards or to separate highly competitive players in a tight battle. Seeing the shots of Xander Schauffele, Justin Thomas and Patrick Reed just trickle on to a green in two, after starting 677 yards away, proved far more exciting than most finishes we’ve seen in some time and certainly were more fun than the simple lash at a tee shot.

It was all a reminder of how much pleasure can be found in watching a skilled player use a wood off of a hanging lie under tournament pressure, and how rarely it now happens as distance overwhelms the game.

Well done to all involved and thanks for the viewing pleasure to kick off 2020 in style.

Here was Thomas hitting into the hazard, hopefully we’ll get some social posts of the brilliant shots hit by Thomas, Schauffele and Reed on the first playoff hole (Think shaped, running and using the land, with a wood in their hand.)
OK, who wants to volunteer to tell Geoff he can't have it both ways?  If the course was firmandfast, which is how we think we want it, the guys won't be removing headcovers in the 18th fairway.  Just sayin'...

Mind you, it's not that Geoff is wrong about making the guys hit longer clubs.  Just, perhaps not here...

Now, the biggest story of the week was a hot mic moment from the least likely candidate on the planet:
If you’re a golf fan who spends time on social media, chances are you’ve seen the clip of Patrick Cantlay’s colorful and somewhat cryptic discussion with Jon Rahm and their respective caddies on the 17th tee during the second round of the Sentry Tournament of Champions. 
On what was a gusty Friday afternoon on the Plantation Course, Golf Channel mics picked up Cantlay, the world’s 7th-ranked player, saying “these pampered f—s need to play” and “two more holes and we can get a Mai Tai.” 
Cantlay’s caddie Matt Minister responded, “I’ll get a Mai Tai, you can have your water.” 
“Don’t spoil it for me,” Cantlay said.
He later said something about telling Vladimir he'll have more flexibility after the next election, though the media had no interest in that comment.  

Geoff sorts through this important matter, which this time of year is assumed to involve Mark Rolfing:
Riggs at Barstool says this was a joking reference to Mark Rolfing wanting to see the players get traditional Kapalua wind, but Golf.com’s Garrett Johnston received this
correction to the prevailing assumption from Cantlay’s bagman Minister.

“I know that Rolfing had nothing to do with that conversation,” Minister said. “I find it amusing people assuming they know what we are talking about. They are wrong.” 
Minister added that the Mai Tai remark “caught me off guard. [Patrick] doesn’t drink.” (Minister’s not a Mai Tai guy, either. He said his post-round drink of choice this week has been a craft beer from Maui Brewing Company.) 
So, what were Cantlay’s remarks in reference to? Minister declined to say. 
“Makes it more fun,” he said, “keep y’all guessing.”
The buried lede is that Patrick Cantlay tried to make a joke...  Really, that's newsworthy.

The Tour Confidential panel took on this one as well:
3. Speaking of Cantlay, he caught the attention of golf fans last week when a Golf Channel “hot mic” caught him using some colorful language at the Sentry Tournament of Champions. Cantlay thought he was having a private conversation with his group on the 17th tee and had no idea his remarks were being broadcast. Should Tour players be made aware when mics are live, or should they operate under the assumption that anything they say anywhere between the ropes is fair game for the telecast? 
Sens: Given the intimate coverage they get week in and week out, they should be aware that anything they say can and will be used against them in the court of public opinion. At the same time, we should all stop feigning offense when we hear a cuss word. It’s a fair reflection of golf-course speak. Save your outrage for things in the world that deserve it. No shortage of those. 
Kerr-Dineen: Shocker, pro golfers swear. And trust me, it’s not nearly as incendiary as some of the things I hear on the course on a weekly basis. But either way, yes, they should be made aware, and it’s something the Tour should kick up a notch by mic’ing up the leaders for the final 36 holes. Then there will be no doubt on either side, and the viewers at home will be getting more of what they actually want. 
Zak: There is sooooooo muchhhhhhh spacceeeeee that is nowhere near a microphone on a golf course. If you don’t want to be caught swearing on the microphone, don’t swear near a microphone. It’s pretty darn clear where they are located. And to comment back at my guy Josh Sens, I think most of “Golf Twitter” was happy to see Cantlay show some personality. It was the broadcast team who immediately recoiled at such a scary four-letter word. 
Sens: Fair enough. The broadcasters should stop feigning squeamishness. In the meantime, I’ll have to check out this Twitter thing you mention. 
Dethier: I’d suggest you stay away, Sens. With that said, I think this was a big moment for Cantlay — in a good way. Up to this point, there’s been little to suggest that Cantlay has a sense of humor of any sort. I think there’s some personality in there after all! 
Wood: I know, I know, it’s not the “right” thing to do, but to me it’s endlessly entertaining. I can’t be the only one who tires of the clichéd interviews and safe, safe, safe narratives. I think 75 percent of the people watching laughed, 15 percent displayed fake outrage and 10 percent were offended. And out here? About 108 percent of the caddies and players got a kick out of it.
But the children!  There's no good answer to these dilemmas, since we all enjoy the unscripted moments, and a little vulgarity makes it the more natural.  But there are children around and, all joking aside, none of us know how to manage that.  

Obviously, Mr. Cantlay is a news peg for other reasons, specifically Mr. Azinger:
1. Paul Azinger, the lead golf analyst for NBC Sports, gave GOLF.com five bold predictions for the 2020 season: Tiger wins major No. 16, Rory wins the Masters, Cameron Smith becomes the best Australian, Patrick Cantlay gets to World No. 1 and Sungjae Im vaults into the top 10 in the World Ranking. Which of these takes is most and least likely to happen? 
Luke Kerr-Dineen: Logically, Rory winning the Masters is least likely, because he’s only got one tournament to fulfill the prediction, whereas Tiger has four chances and Cameron, Cantlay and Sungjae have all season. But that said, I don’t see Tiger getting another major in 2020. Not that I don’t want him to — let me be very clear on that — I just suspect he won’t defend his green jacket and the rest of his 2020 major season will mirror 2019. As for most likely, probably the Cameron Smith prediction. He’s only got three Australians to leapfrog, and even though we’ve seen signs of life from Adam Scott (the highest ranked of them all) last season, his continually sketchy putting always makes you wonder how long it’ll last. 
Josh Sens: For Cantlay to get to No. 1, he’ll have to leapfrog Tiger, DJ, Justin Thomas, Jon Rahm, Rory McIlroy and Brooks Koepka. Forgive me for not believing that will happen. 
Sean Zak,: I’ll go ahead and say there’s no way Smith vaults ahead of Adam Scott for top Aussie. Not the way Scottie is playing. Cantlay getting to No. 1 isn’t that unrealistic, folks. A couple of nice wins (which he’s fully capable of) and Brooks backing up (very plausible) and he’ll be duking it out with Rory. JT and Rahm are the real ones I’d be worried about. Rory winning the Masters has probably a 5 percent chance of happening. So … Tiger winning one of four majors is most plausible. Get this! None of them happen! Sorry, Zing. 
Dylan Dethier: Let’s throw some numbers on these! I’d put Rory’s chances at Augusta just shy of 10 percent. Tiger should have around a 25 percent chance of winning No. 16. It wouldn’t shock me for Cantlay to hop into the top three, but he’s under 5 percent to take the top spot. I don’t even know how to handicap the Cam Smith prediction, because his 2019 wasn’t particularly impressive. Sungjae has leapt all the way to World No. 34, and while the trek into the top 10 is a tough one, I love his game. Gimme Im as the most likely, and Cantlay as the least likely. 
John Wood: Most likely: Sungjae Im gets to top 10 in the world. Least likely: Cantlay to No. 1. Not impossible obviously because Patrick is a stone-cold killer, but there are just so many guys capable of being there.
Way too much going on there for one single question, but it triggers some reactions.  But I think we can all agree that the race for Best Aussie is less than compelling...

That Zinger thinks Cantlay is that good is an interesting data point.  I myself haven't seen that gear in the man, but of course the separation between these guys is razor thin.

I tend to focus more on the inconsistencies within his five predictions.  For instance, I think it's pretty obvious that Tiger's best chance for a 2020 major is at Augusta by a substantial margin.  It's the easiest to win by far because of the field size, and it's easily his best chance for favorable weather and a normal schedule (the field size limits early morning tee times, which has to help Tiger).  So, the prediction of Rory at Augusta and Tiger bagging one seems the equivalent to drawing to an inside straight.

As for Sungjae Im, can you say recency bias?

This is a more coherent follow-up:
2. Zinger’s boldest prediction was surely Cantlay ascending to World No. 1. Who do you think will be the top-ranked male and female players at the end of this calendar year? 
Kerr-Dineen: Nelly Korda will get to World No. 1 and stay there for a while. So much talent, she’s going to be the next dominant force in women’s golf. On the men’s side? The OWGR being what it is, it’s really more of a power ranking, so think about who might catch some good form over the next season. Xander Schauffele jumps to mind, but I think Jon Rahm’s even more likely. He’ll get to World No. 1 and win (at least) one major along the way. 
Sens: Unless she gets bored or injured, Jin Young Ko should remain right where she belongs atop the women’s rankings. Such a sharp, well-rounded game. I see Rory supplanting Koepka before the year is out, though I realize shorting Koepka is rarely a good idea. 
Zak: Like I said before, I think Cameron Smith becoming top Aussie is a lot harder to believe in than Cantlay becoming top player. Now that I got that out of the way, Jin Young Ko has a gigantic lead, so I’ll take her. On the men’s side, Justin Thomas will be No. 1 this time next year. All he needs is a fully healthy season. 
Dethier: Jin Young Ko’s got numbers on her side and will finish the year at No. 1, although Nelly Korda’s pursuit of the top spot is one of the great recent storylines in American golf. I’ve predicted Rory to finish the year at World No. 1 the last two years; let’s see if we get it right this time around! 
Wood: Jin Young Ko and Tiger Woods. Every time he tees it up and is healthy he will be the guy to beat. His play is stellar again, and his world ranking divisor will be so low I think that will help. I just think he’s gonna play 12-15 times and have a monster year.
On the women's side I'll go with a Korean, perhaps named Lee...  Oh wait, despite nailing it, that got Hank Haney in a spot of bother.  Though it gets my vote for favorite lawsuit of the coming year...

Woodie is all in on Davis Love's big prediction, which seems silly given how little he'll actually play.  The OWGR leave me cold, so I'm more interested in whether Rory can summon his game at Augusta... Yanno, when he wants it the most.  As to what happens at The Honda and Wasted, who really cares?

The Year That Was - For reasons that escape me, Alex Myers pens a love letter to 2010....  Well, perhaps it's not exactly love:
Just a reminder, we are now 10 years removed from the weirdest year in PGA Tour history
2010?  Did anything much happen that year?  OK, I do remember this:
1. Before we get to the action on the course, Tiger Woods held that somber post-scandal press conference at TPC Sawgrass in February.

Who doesn't like a good hostage video?  But the strangest part of that story is that Nurse Ratched let me overshadow the first day of the WGC Match Play event with his bizarre presser, or whatever we call it.

But this was completely on brand:
4. McIlroy looked like he might win his first major, too, when he shot an opening 63(!) at the Open Championship. But he followed that up with a second-round 80(!!) at St. Andrews.
I remember that day vividly.  Rory caught horrible conditions on his way out on the Old Course, and had no other weapon than to continue to throw shots way up into the wind.  I thought Northern Ireland passports were revoked for that, but apparently not.

But apparently there was a Bigfoot sighting: 
7. Anthony Kim won the Shell Houston Open. This wasn't weird for the 23-year-old budding star. What's weird is that AK never won again—and has barely been seen since. (Insert sad-face emoji.)
Now Alex comes to his rousing coda, but again these things seem perfectly on brand:
10. Dustin Johnson led the U.S. Open by three shots through 54 holes, but shot a final-round 82 at Pebble Beach—a place where he had won the PGA Tour stop there for the
second year in a row four months earlier. Amazingly, this wouldn't wind up being his most painful loss of the year. 
11. Dustin Johnson lost the PGA Championship because he grounded his club in a "bunker" on the 72nd hole. Imagine if this happened today? Golf Twitter would burn to the ground. DJ was informed of his two-stroke penalty, which knocked him out of a playoff with Martin Kaymer and Bubba Watson, on the 18th green at Whistling Straits while playing partner and 54-hole leader Nick Watney added up his own 81.
File under DJ being DJ....

Of course, that explains this, no?
Dustin Johnson says he should have double the amount of wins. Is he right?
 Majors I think is an exponential function....  That TC panel had time for this as well:
4. Dustin Johnson has 20 PGA Tour wins in his career but said last week that he feels like he should have “probably about double” that total. When accounting for talent and potential, which active Tour pro has most underdelivered/underachieved in the wins column? 
Kerr-Dineen: Dustin Johnson is right, he has underachieved relative to his ability, but not enough to lose sleep over. He’ll get another major at some point and continue making lots of money, which won’t keep him up at night. Bubba Watson joins him in that category. As for the players who will be haunted by their final haul: Adam Scott is the obvious answer, but like Sergio, at least he’ll always point to his green jacket. Hideki Matsuyama is the name flying up this ranking with every passing tournament. With the weight of a golf-loving nation on him, those two Waste Management Open trophies aren’t going to keep him warm at night. 
Sens: Dylan Dethier. When he was coming out of Williams (or was it Amherst? I always get those schools confused), I figured he was destined to dominate for years. But no. He got caught up in the allure of the writerly life and squandered all that talent. After him, hmmm … the way Sergio hits the ball, he could/should easily have more than his 10 PGA Tour wins. To say nothing of another major or two. 
Dethier: I’d argue my peak World Ranking (1,508, I think) remains a wild overachievement. 
Zak: Dethier does have one of the best caddies in the game! DJ underdelivered in the majors column but not the wins column! He’s won a ton. The answer, per usual, is Rickie Fowler. In a decade on Tour, he has won five times, a total also known as fewer than Jimmy Walker. Apologies to Jimmy, but Rickie is on top of the list until he moves himself off it. 
Dethier: Good thoughts all — I’d add that Tony Finau is climbing this list quickly. My man has six runner-up finishes on Tour and only one win at the Puerto Rico Open, which nobody will mistake for a major. Here’s hoping for a trophy in 2020.
Twenty wins is hard to sneeze at, but it is conceivable that his career could end with only the one major, especially now that Brooks has DJ's manhood in a safe in his basement.  But Sean Zak is correct, when they announce the Master Class in underachievement, Rickie will be your instructor.

Some may take this as encouraging:
Dustin Johnson poised for a big year with his knee issue behind him
 I've never wasted much time worrying about DJ's knee...  It's that real estate between the ears.

Have We Not Suffered Enough? - Mike Whan is a good guy, and you all know that I have affection for the women's game, but this is enough to put me off my breakfast:
New decade of Whan: 'Turning up volume' on women’s empowerment
As the kids like to say, "Get woke, go broke."

To be fair, you're gonna have to espouse some of that in running a women's Tour, and his objectives seem appropriate:
Now, Whan can’t imagine leaving his adopted daughters with this larger purpose still to pursue, with women’s empowerment a cause he is committed to champion: 
Growing the game to where half the golf population is female. 
Growing the profile of his players with more network TV opportunities. 
Narrowing the gender pay gap. 
They’re all more aggressively in his crosshairs today. 
“I can’t just let that be somebody else’s problem,” Whan said. “I can’t be thinking, 'I rebuilt the LPGA, now I am going to cash out and go to a bigger platform.’ That would feel wrong. You’re either in this, or you’re not.” 
Whan is all in.
I'd much rather he focus on increasing purses for the ladies, and eschew the wage gap nonsense....  They actually suffer from the comparison, so far better to focus on the better fan experience and other attributes of his ladies.  Otherwise, you just sound like a bitter socialist....

A Schedule Rant - From you-know-who, and another one in which he seems to want it both ways....  This case about the Tour schedule:
Whether its the side-effect of a late Presidents Cup, an accumulation of wraparound golf buildup or starting as early as possible, the 2020 Sentry Tournament of Champions arrives with little fanfare or anticipation.

The flat vibe certainly is not the fault of Kapalua, perennially one of the more enjoyable venues in tournament golf both in beauty and fun finish production. The course re-debuts after a freshening and toughening, and sounds a bit soft this year, which may negate the charming ground game of yesteryear.

The format is not to blame, either, though dreams of a duel PGA Tour-LPGA TOC start were dashed when a sponsor likely not want to deal with the cost or equal pay criticisms that would have been a byproduct of such an event. (Sentry just renewed through 2030, news announced for minimum traction on that Friday news dump not-on-a-Friday, aka New Year’s Eve…)
Nor are the players to blame. While the usual defections happened again due to a plethora of playing opportunities—Woods, Koepka, McIlroy passed—plenty of first time winners and quality players have turned up for a guaranteed $64,000 and week on Maui.

Which brings us back to a recurring and dreadful topic we’ll grapple with all of 2020: schedule compaction. To put it as euphemistically as possible. 
Tokyo’s Olympic games in July grab two weeks of the PGA Tour schedule and thus forced the early start. They will also disrupt schedules of big names and highlight how too many playing opportunities exist. As a product folks pay handsomely to sponsor and televise, we’ll be reminded quite regularly that the people writing big checks could get a lot more bang for their bucks with some schedule contraction and less of an emphasis on providing year-round playing opportunities.

Not that anyone will do anything about it as long as players incentivize leaders to maximize at the expense of the product.

So sit back, enjoy the beautiful scenes from Kapalua and break out your trade winds-climate change-Coore & Crenshaw bingo board.

Oh, but do enjoy the warm and fuzzy Patrick Reed-Kevin Kisner pairing that should brighten any January gloom. The new security guard spotted as part of Team Reed has undoubtedly been told to keep an eye on Kis as much as any Hawaiian hecklers.
Yeah, he's most certainly onto something, though of course it's complicated because you need to provide playing opportunities for the kids to improve their status.  I think the mistake is the big-time events in the Fall, rather than a model more like the old Fall Finish.

Shack had another point about the schedule that deserves serious thought:
Instant Poll Asking For A Friend: Would You Support Monday Finishes During The NFL Playoffs?
We’ve run into this question seemingly every year. But with the NFL’s already high ratings on the rise again as a strong leaderboard plays against wildcard weekend. It takes little imagination to know that golf is annoying blip to casual fans following the games, and is even asking its core audience to keep their remotes or second screens busy.

In between remote control flips to wildcard games, I ask, what would be so terrible if the first three events of the PGA Tour season started on Friday and ended on Monday?
The Sentry Tournament of Champions, Sony Open and Bob Hope Chrylser Humana Careerbuilder Workday American Express Desert Classic could all finish on Mondays and in eastern U.S. prime time on Golf Channel.

For the sponsor, a Monday finish might allow the event to get a similar rating on cable and get more recognition in media cycles when the only major sporting event.

The major negatives: a potentially smaller final round gallery at the Hawaii events, a tight turnaround from the desert event to Torrey Pines and the end of any chance a major network would carry the final round. And such a move would mean finishing near the start of the national college football championship but also on Martin Luther King Jr. Day, a national holiday.
Seems like a slam dunk for the two Hawaii events, where you can finish in prime time.  I don't actually think that Palm Springs event would work as well.  And, if it lines up with NFL conference championships, what you'd really want to do is finish on Saturday.  But that's an awfully quick turnaround coming back to the mainland from Hawaii, but at least it's no longer a 90-hole event, so we've got that going for us.

I'll leave you nice folks here and hopefully see you tomorrow.  There's no snow in the forecast, so you should have my full attention. 

Friday, January 3, 2020

Your Friday Frisson

I spent the evening watching the boys from Kapalua, disappointed mostly to see balls hitting and sticking in the fairways.  Maybe we need to give it some time to grow in?

I guess I need to provide the obligatory game story?
The first PGA Tour event of 2020 is off with a sea of red numbers at the newly revamped Kapalua Plantation course in Maui, Hawaii, and 21-year-old Joaquin Niemann leads the field by one shot after firing an opening round of seven-under-par 66. 
It’s Niemann’s first appearance at the winner’s-only event, after he punched his ticket to Maui with a victory at last year’s A Military Tribute at the Greenbrier. It was the first — and thus far, only — win of Niemann’s career. But perhaps not for long. The young Chilean posted a perfect round of golf on Thursday, carding seven birdies and zero bogeys. 
“During the practice round, I knew it was going to be tough,” Niemann told Golf Channel’s Todd Lewis after his round. “There was a lot of wind, on Tuesday especially, and today wasn’t that windy. I played great, I made a lot of [putts]. It was my day.”
Very obligatory....  Perhaps I should have gone with Golfweek's version, which at least put a little thought into the header:
The kid is all right: 21-year-old Joaquin Niemann leads Sentry Tournament of Champions
Riffing on his tough week at the Prez Cup, with a bonus nod to The Who.   Good work in an underappreciated genre.

It's hard to find all that much of interest for y'all.  Watching Matthew Wolff's golf swing never seems to get old, but otherwise we're scraping the bottom of the barrel.  There is, of course, Puma's exciting new Island Collection:


Imagine you're a big-time CEO that pays a gazillion dollars to play in the Pro-Am, and your pro shows up in his PJ's?  It does accomplish one important thing, which is to put to bed any concern about the guys wearing shorts.

Now the tourney organizers do get props for one underappreciated move, capitalizing on the Patrick Reed story by pairing him with Kevin Kisner, a high-water mark in passive-aggressiveness.  Why?  Well, it goes back to this 2018 Golf Digest story:
Reed’s tarnished relationship with his Ryder Cup teammates follows the same pattern as his collegiate experience. He was persona non grata when he was kicked off the team at Georgia in 2009 after one season, and most on the Augusta State roster tolerated him as a necessary evil in helping deliver the school consecutive NCAA championships in 2010 and 2011. 
“They all hate him—any guys that were on the team with him [at Georgia] hate him and that’s the same way at Augusta,” said Kevin Kisner, a Georgia alum who predated Reed’s arrival in Athens and lives 20 minutes from Augusta in Aiken, S.C. “I don’t know that they’d piss on him if he was on fire, to tell you the truth.”
See how deep I dig just to amuse you kids?  That's a great quote, and I'll guess it works even better with Kiz' drawl.  But the next 'graph in that GD story is good as well:
Getting Reed’s collegiate teammates to confirm that animosity on the record is fruitless. Professional tour peers who shared rosters with him like Harris English, Russell Henley, Brian Harman or Henrik Norlander will give you the same glare and no comment whenever the subject of Reed comes up. None of them see any value in saying something to sabotage Reed’s reputation when they have full confidence that he’ll inevitably say enough to sabotage himself.
I've been reliably informed that Patrick is Captain America, but the irony, she burns.  It turns out that a man with the nickname Table for One is a bad fit for team golf.  Who could have seen that one coming?

Low-Impact Blogging - Not sure you guys would have had a post to read this morning, if not for the appearance of an Ask Alan feature.   As always, some serious issues addressed amidst the silly banter:
In what ways is golf better or worse than it was at the start of the decade? – @GolfingBrock 
Better: Tiger is not mired in the most salacious scandal of the Internet age. The other top players are younger and cooler. The LPGA is thriving. For everyday golfers there are many more fantastic public courses to discover, from the cliffs of Nova Scotia to the sand hills of Nebraska to Oz’s King Island, from Streamsong to Sand Valley to Sweeten’s Cove. The emphasis on fun is wonderful, whether it’s sporty par-3 courses or whimsical putting greens. The golf media — or, put another way, the creation of golf content — has been diversified with younger, hipper voices. 

Worse: The ancient playing fields have been rendered largely obsolete by obscene distance gains. The game has frittered away a decade and failed to attract new participants, largely because in many circles golf remains stubbornly stuffy, uptight, homogenous and xenophobic. The golf media has contracted substantially. I still don’t have an ace.
Alan points out that which I've been struggling to explain for some time.  Except for the Tiger bit, the trends we embrace apply to our recreational game.   

The elite game is facing severe challenges, which to a certain extent I see as self-inflicted.  But I also differ with Alan on the state of the game, which remains a viable niche sport.  It maddens folks that the game has never grown out of that niche, though the typical prescriptions to solve that risk the charms at the essence of the game's appeal.  So, folks, just deal with it.

Alan remains an Olympics fanboy, not seeing the contradiction inherent:
Will golf be an Olympic sport post-2020? – @jking_NY 
Oh, hell yeah. Tokyo is going to be a home run, with all the top players there and none of the faux-controversies that were such an embarrassment to the sport the last time around. I’m praying Tiger makes the U.S. team. Can you imagine what a scene that will be if/when he leads the U.S. delegation at the Opening Ceremony?
Tiger is the reigning Masters champion and is currently the sixth ranked player in the OFWR, so why wouldn't he be in Tokyo?  Oh yeah, because they have room for only thirty or so elite players, because of the importance of ensuring that the best Sengalese golfer is invited.  It's the Hero World Challenge, and nothing more as a competition, and I would argue that it's important for Tiger to miss out just so folks understand how unserious it is.
1. How much are you looking forward to the Ryder Cup in Wisconsin?
2. Which day do you want to meet for a beer? – @FakePoulter 
1. Deeply. Let us not forget that my controversial column about the Ryder Cup forecast long-term dominance for the U.S. Paris was an unfortunate beginning to this epoch but when the Yanks win at Whistling Straits that will give them two out of the last three Cups, just as the core of recent European teams (Poulter, Stenson, Rose, Garcia) all are hitting their early- to mid-40s. I’m going to miss the entertaining European victories (and the American angst that followed every loss) but I’m willing to trade that fun for sweet, sweet vindication. 
2. Sunday night, because I will need to get plastered if the U.S. lays another egg.
That was such good fun.  Alan actually got a shout-out from the Euro players after they stomped on Alan's guys.  I always thought that Alan had the demographic trends correct, he just perhaps over-valued stroke play talent.  And also, the U.S. are idiots....  I mean that these geniuses needed a task force to put Phil out in alternate-shot.  Idiocy, thy name is a committee.... Please don't ask them to design a horse.

The pleasure in this installment comes from the fact that this should be an easy win for the home team.  Which means the pressure could preclude relaxed play....  Really, imagine if they screw up this one?

Some inside baseball from Alan:
What is the best story for you to write at this year’s Masters? – @LiveTweetGolf 
This is an important point — writers don’t root for people, we root for stories. These would be the most impactful/interesting/buzz-worthy outcomes: 
1. Tiger repeats and continues his ascent up Mt. Nicklaus.
2. Rory completes the Grand Slam and finally reasserts himself in the major championships.
3. Spieth breaks his slump and returns to the front ranks of the game.
4. Patrick Reed solidifies his standing as the ultimate antihero.
5. Koepka continues his march on history.
OK, I reject Nos. 2 and 3 out of hand, due to the lack of an established predicate.  I remain amazed at the extent to which some of the old timey writers cling to Jordan....

As to No. 4, you know how I feel about the man.  That said, Butler Cabin could hit a new high-water mark for awkwardness....

But, Alan, good luck with this:
You get any access for a long form piece — what are you writing about? – @stick_club 
Tiger is so obvious I’m going to disqualify that as answer, so I’m going with Patrick Reed. It would be deeply fascinating to embed with Team Reed and get a close look at their, uh, quirks. And maybe, just maybe, locate some humanity.
Better men than you have tried.   It's a humanity-free zone....

This is a good question, I think you'll agree:
If you could be a golf writer at any point in history other than the one we live in, what era would you choose? – @SHistorians 
Mid ’70’s/early ’80’s. Jack was enjoying his last act, Watson and Trevino kept pushing him to the brink, Johnny Miller had an epic run, Seve was just making the scene, and outsized characters like Ray Floyd and Lanny Wadkins and Hubert Green were still making the scene. Plus, print was still king. Second choice would be the roaring ‘20s, when the great Bobby Jones was becoming an icon and so many great courses were being built. And, like Grantland Rice, perhaps I could have helped found Augusta National.
Lots of fun choices, though Alan certainly opted for a soft seam where there won't be a ton of competition.  But if you seriously think that Hubert Green was an outsized character, I'm not sure why we'd care about your opinion.

Then some random hits:
#AskAlan Are Jason Day and Dustin Johnson trending towards one-and-done in major championships? Given the depth of talent, would one major be considered a failure for these guys? – @TheSecretDuffer 
Day is an interesting case. For a decade he was a huge underachiever, for about a year he was the best player in the world, and then over the last three+ seasons he has been a maddening enigma. Twelve Tour wins, including a major, feels about right for Day at age 32. Dustin has been a consistent contender for far longer and had his heart broken many, many more times. If he doesn’t bag a few more majors Dustin will surely go down as one of the game’s all-time what-ifs.
Day has just never figured out how to stay healthy....

But DJ was my favorite part of yesterday's broadcast, as he was comically crooked with that new driver.  Honestly, I had no clue they had grass that long at Kapalua....  and he seemed to find it all.

In the bigger picture, DJ seems headed towards being one of the biggest under-achievers the game has seen, especially since Brooks now owns his manhood.

Here's a couple that share a common theme:
Does 2020 establish Brooks vs Rory as the defining rivalry of this generation or does Spieth return from the ashes to challenge for alpha status? – @wannabegolfer22 
Why not both? I refuse to believe Spieth won’t find it — he’s too talented and tenacious to remain a non-factor. Four years ago I thought Spieth and McIlroy would be the game’s marquee rivalry. They were fire and ice, Jordan’s hot-blooded play contrasting nicely with Rory’s unshakable cool. And their games were so different. McIlroy and Koepka are similar in a lot of ways. Stylistically, their budding rivalry is less interesting because of the sameness, but I love both of their swagger. It will be so fun to watch if they keep tangling in the big events.
Rory has swagger?  I don't actually think so and, more importantly, the party of the second part obviously doesn't think so either.   How about we see Rory actually play well at Augusta before we accord him a seat on the dais?

But here Alan perhaps lets the mask slip just a little:
Does anyone complete the career Grand Slam in 2020? – @maccentre43 
No.
Doesn't that tell us what he really thinks about Rory and Jordan?  
Does Tiger have a legit shot at Jack’s major record in 2020? – @jviohl_01 
Pump the breaks! With Woods having just turned 44, the idea that he will win three majors this year is, uh, fanciful. In his prime Tiger won roughly one of out three majors in which he competed. Let’s not get toooooo greedy here.
He's won one in eleven years, and you're asking about his chances of three in a year?  You, sir, are quite the idiot....  

 This seems a good one on which to exit:
Is Bryson going to be a terrific or terrible golf course architect/designer? – @GolfLover67 
I’m actually intrigued to see if he could conjure something truly original. I love the neo-minimalism movement as much as the next guy but, other than Doak’s Loop, has anything truly ground-breaking been built recently? Maybe Bryson’s tortured brain could give us something crazily original. I would actually like to see him try.
Are we actually looking for "Ground-breaking?"  Because I tend to prefer timeless design principles, obviously applied in imaginative waves to the ground involved.  

But before we put Bryson on a bulldozer, perhaps some enterprising journalist could ask him his thoughts on golf course design.  Yanno, where does he like to play and why?  Alan, isn't that a much better long-form story idea than hanging out with Team Reed?

Kids, have a great weekend.

Thursday, January 2, 2020

And So It Begins Anew

I hope you enjoyed your off-season, because it's warp speed from here to Labor Day.  Not that I actually recommend paying much attention until about mid-March.

There's fresh snow, so I won't be keeping you here too long....

The Plantation Mystery - For the first time in this decade, I'll let Geoff explain:
For whatever reason—climate change altering wind patters, thatch build-up causing balls to run less or players simply not using the ground like they used to—Kapalua’s
Plantation course grew increasingly less interesting to watch over the last decade. Granted, it’s peak in 2000 with this PGA Tour epic duel will always be difficult to top…
Since we have only twelve years to live, a decrease in run-out on this golf course might seem a trifling matter.  Of course, I'm so old I can remember back to 2000 (Shack has the highlight video) when the science was settled.

Here's another take:
The PGA Tour players in this week’s Sentry Tournament of Champions are in for a firm,
fast and bouncy experience, the result of a nine-month renovation project to Kapalua’s Plantation Course that restored much of the original intent of designers Bill Coore and Ben Crenshaw. 
The debut course of that now-famous design duo opened in 1991, playing some 400 feet up the side of a mountain in Maui, Hawaii. The coastal course features wide fairways and dramatic slopes, with long views over Honolua and Mokuleia bays. The course has become a staple of the PGA Tour, blasting snow-bound golfers back on the mainland with views of sunshine, tropical breezes and the occasional breaching whale.
The funniest part remains that folks don't really understand why it plays so much softer in recent years. 

As noted, this was the first design of the Coore-Crenshaw partnership, on a sight pretty much nobody could figure out how to build a golf course. 

At the third hole, Johnson, who has won twice at Kapalua, in 2013 and 2018, was used to hitting wedge into the green. A tee 40 yards farther back establishes a landing area that is slightly uphill. As a result, Johnson needed a 6-iron to reach the putting surface, and that was in the face of a mere half-club wind. Thirty yards added to the short, uphill par-4 10th should yield a similar effect.
I have been reliably informed that DJ hasn't hit a six-iron into a Par-4 since the Carter Administration.

Worth tuning in for sure, at least until the football on Saturday.

On A Related Note -  Remember that bit about where Tour players would choose for their final rounds?  It so happens they asked a follow up:
Paul Azinger 
“I would hire Gil Hanse. He has an incredible feel and sense of what is technically sound and visually pleasing. I love his personality and I think he’d be easy to work with.”
Gil would be my choice for a restoration, because he's proven that he can check his ego at the door.
Aaron Baddeley 
“I like Coore-Crenshaw. They don’t move too much dirt. They let the ground dictate the design.”
A great answer, though of course not every proposed property dictates an interesting golf course.  As Pete Dye said, minimal land requires maximal architecture.

I'm perfectly fine with the distinction this guy makes:
Patrick Cantlay 
“Alister Mackenzie would be my dead guy. Coore-Crenshaw among the living.”
Hmmm...He is just off playing Royal Melbourne, so no need to harsh his mellow.  But I do hope he doesn't consider Augusta National to be a Mackenzie, because the Good Doctor wouldn't recognize it.

But this has to be the best answer, it being so on-brand:
Bryson DeChambeau 
“It’s me. I’ve got so many great ideas. I can’t wait to start showing them in the next five years.”
Is there a clown face involved?   

No Glitches So Far - How's that new handicap system working out for you?  I think the powers that be have done that which they always do, made it unnecessarily complicated in search of a questionable objective.  Because there really wasn't much wrong with the old system...

Dean Knuth has some serious qualms, about which I don't have the bandwidth this morning to absorb.  Dean is, or was, The Pope of Slope, so his concerns should be our concerns:
What does not make sense, though, is applying the par adjustment throughout the rest of the world, in particular to the U.S., where it creates an assortment of issues. Let’s start with the fact that par is hardly the most reliable measure of course difficulty (that would be course rating). Almost any golfer can list two courses that are both par 72s but vary greatly in how tough they play. Differences in length, in obstacles, in penalty areas, make one drastically harder than another even when they have the same par. Par as a metric, then, is somewhat arbitrary. It’s why course architect Tom Doak, among others, have advocated an “Abandon Par” ideology, saying that it has become meaningless to tour pros and other golfers. Maybe you don’t want to go that far, but calculating a handicap around a less reliable measure of difficulty inherently makes for a less equitable system. 
Where this issue becomes noticeable is how the new formula changes course handicap values from tee to tee as you compare the WHS to the USGA system at any course. For example, where once a course handicap was a 12 from the back and middle tees, and an 11 from the front, under the new WHS calculations there will be much larger variations—as many as 18 shots in some instances—between tees. Part of the reason for this is that during the calculation, an approximation is being approximated again by adding Course Rating minus Par, creating an imperfect “over-spreading” of the course handicaps. Golfers moving to longer tees will think this is a logical change (they’ll be getting more strokes). Golfers playing shorter tees won’t be so happy.
I'm sorry, but my eyes are glazing over...  Dean does get to some of my more immediate concerns as well:
There are other changes with the WHS that cause me concerns. Providing daily handicap updates will create logistical nightmares for handicap committees at courses. Also, the new Playing Conditions Calculation that aims to account for unusual weather on daily scores sounds good, but what happens in instances when the weather is great in the morning but bad in the afternoon? Tournament score monitoring is disappointingly weakened in this new process. And the use of net double bogey as a maximum hole score is better than what that it replaces but also has faults. For golfers to apply it manually is complex—you have to know where you’re getting shots and that will vary from each set of tees—and will lead to players guessing or not applying it at all.
It's that last bit that strikes me as the bit that will ensure mayhem, but none of this actually strikes me as worth the effort.

The Year Ahead -  If you've read Geoff's April Fool's Day posts, his 2020 predictions have to be worth considering.  His lede will shock exactly no one:
Distance Report Delayed Again – After PGA Tour distance averages show a one-yard decline through the first four weeks of 2020, the USGA and R&A decide (again) to delay 
their highly-anticipated distance insights study. “This year’s slight drop in no way means are players are less athletic, it should be noted,” Tweeted Commissioner Jay Monahan. “We praise the governing bodies for recognizing that the game is thriving and growing, especially with a younger demographic drawn to the aspirational joys of annually spending $550 on a driver to gain five yards off the tee.”
Perhaps.  Though I could see them releasing another BS report in front of a Mission Accomplished banner as well.
Load Management - A crowded schedule means the dreaded NBA phrase du jour of 2019 will come to golf in 2020. Brooks Koepka and Tiger Woods open as 2-1 favorites as the most likely to employ the phrase. Bryson DeChambeau, opens at a surprising 6-1. Explains oddsmaker Jeff Sherman, “Load management to Bryson is what ‘growing the game’ is to most players.”
But I had been reliably informed that Bryson was focused exclusively on his course design business?

Or this:
DeChambeau Admits He Bulked Up Too Much - After not breaking 70 on the entire West Coast Swing, Bryson DeChambeau reluctantly admits his 30-pound off-season bulk-up has made a mess of his game. “The idea was right, but the type of proteins my team chose were all wrong,” DeChambeau said after firing his nutritionist, physio, West Coast chef, Trackman-carrier and upper-body masseuse. “In order to lose the pesky muscle, DeChambeau will skip the Florida swing and restrict his exercise to walks from the couch to his kitchen, where his new chef will feed him a protein-free diet.
What could go wrong?

Haven't we suffered enough?
Live Under Par Survives Another Year. The PGA Tour’s new CMO issues a full review of the most ridiculed slogan in all of slogandom. Rumored internal replacements emerge, including Fields Have Never Been Deeper, These Guys Are 18-49 Demo-Friendly Jocks, Never Laying Up From A Barstool, and finally, Chicks Dig Long, Dimpled (Golf) Balls. Said an internal source, “we still have a lot of Live Under Par T’s to move at this year’s Players before we can move forward with a new one.”
To me, 2019 was a bit of a kidney stone of a year.  Yeah, Tiger, but what else will we want to remember a decade from now?  Dylan Dethier, who isn't old enough to know much history, is quite the optimist:
5 reasons why golf will be even better in 2020 than it was in 2019
The soft bigotry of low expectations, for sure.  So, whatcha got?
 1. TIGER IS BACK — LIKE, ALL THE WAY BACK!
Look, last year’s Masters will go down as one of the biggest moments in golf history — I’m not here to tell you the 2020 edition will somehow outdo that. But let’s think of what 2020 could hold for Tiger Woods. The man just turned 44, which means time allegedly isn’t on his side. But he just looked unbeatable at the Presidents Cup, impressive at the Hero World Challenge and in complete control at the Zozo Championship. In 2020 we’ll watch him defend his Masters title, seek out record-breaking win No. 83 and continue the chase for 18 major titles. Somehow, none of these seem like impossible tasks. Add onto that the possibility of Tiger playing his way into the Olympics and/or the Ryder Cup and we’re talking about an all-time year for Woods-watching.
Dylan, I recommend a few slow, deep breaths....

Look, I agree that the quality of Tiger's golf in Japan and Oz was a revelation.  But that Saturday at the Prez Cup should serve as a flashing red light for all of us, as we simply can't know what his body will allow.  Expect nothing, and we might have a fun surprise or two.  Not that I love the venues, and the PGA of America has done him no favors....
2. THE U.S. IS LOOKING FOR RYDER CUP REVENGE 
Remember a couple of weeks ago, when we were reminded how fun it is to watch passionate team match-play golf? Well, that was just the Presidents Cup, and it was happening most of the way around the world. The Ryder Cup is coming to Wisconsin in September and the American side is in desperate need of revenge after a 17.5-10.5 trouncing at the hands of Europe in Paris in 2018. The intrigue of who will make the U.S. team is always worth the price of admission, and the performance of the Internationals in Melbourne should remind us that in this format, there’s no such thing as a sure thing. We’ve got a big circle around Whistling Straits on our calendar.
Well, duh!  Forget revenge, the U.S. just needs to blow up that Task Force.  seriously, if the purpose of your hostile takeover of the event is to throw Phil out there in alternate shot, maybe you should rethink everything.

That said, the U.S. is surely capable of winning a home game.... Right?
3. NELLY KORDA IS GUNNING FOR THE TOP 
Fans of American women’s golf have been on the lookout for their next breakout star, and in 2019 Nelly Korda staked a compelling claim to that title. She began 2019 with a win in Australia and never looked back, winning three times and racking up top finishes as she jumped from No. 23 in the world to a year-end rank of No. 3. Oh yeah, and she’s just 21 years old. In 2020, Korda will be gunning for the top spot in the Rolex Rankings, but she’ll have her work cut out for her. While S.H. Park (6.77 points) is within striking distance of Korda (6.53), Jin Young Ko has established herself as the unquestioned No. 1 player in the world with 9.45 points. No American has reached the top of the rankings since Stacy Lewis in 2014; watching the best in the world battle it out for that coveted title will be worth the price of admission.
perhaps for the twelve people that actually watch women's golf.  But remind me, whatever happened to the Lexi Thompson era?
4. IT’S ON BETWEEN BROOKS AND RORY 
By the end of 2019, two players had separated themselves from the rest of the PGA Tour. Brooks Koepka and Rory McIlroy traded blows all year long, with Koepka winning the lion’s share until the season-ending Tour Championship, where McIlroy stared him down and took home $15 million in the process. Koepka’s still holding on to the top spot in the World Ranking — and has made it clear he’s not interested in any action in his rearview mirror — but McIlroy is very much interested in chasing down the man ahead of him. Here’s hoping for more weekend showdowns in 2020. Of course, there are a few other players who might have something to say about this, like misters Rahm, Thomas, Johnson or Woods. But Brooks-Rory feels, for now, like the main event.
That's nice, but it does require Rory to summon the good stuff when it matter most.... Yanno, come to think of it, Augusta would be a good time to test this hypothesis.
5. IT’S AN OLYMPIC YEAR! 
This may be me, a lifelong Olympics nerd, speaking on behalf of the game of golf, but this feels like the year we begin to feel proper Olympic cheer. Apathy and Zika kept top players away from Rio four years back; besides Olympics grinch Adam Scott, it sounds like the world’s best will be gunning for Tokyo this summer. Qualifying for the U.S. men’s team — only four golfers deep — will be as hard as anything in the sport, save for perhaps the South Korean women’s team. Brooks Koepka, Justin Thomas, Dustin Johnson, Tiger Woods, Patrick Cantlay, Xander Schauffele, etc., who’s getting left out?
I'm very happy for you, Dylan, but what's in it for the rest of us?  In fact, there's this little follow-up paragraph...
Of course, it’s hard for me to write about the Olympics without a mention that it remains a damn shame there’s no team, or match play, or mixed-gender element to the action in Tokyo, and that having another 72-hole stroke-play event seems like a mega-miss, but there will be time for that. It’s the start of a new year, after all. Not a bogey on the scorecard yet.
So, yet another dreary 72-hole stroke play event, but at least this one features a comically weak field, so we've got that going for us.

I'm going to leave you there.  Enjoy the golf in prime time this evening.